Market newsInterest rates

Will the repo rate go down in November 2026?

Short answer: a cut on 19 November 2026 looks unlikely — but no one can promise the outcome. The repo rate is 7.25% and prime 10.75% (SARB, effective 25 September 2026). Bank offers typically run prime -1% to +2%. The 2026 record, what a hold means for your bond, and how to pay less anyway.

By Neil B · Checked against published primary sources · Published 2026-11-07 · Last verified 2026-11-07

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Flat illustration of a stepped, rising 2026 rate line ending in an open dashed circle with a ghosted downward branch, beside South African houses — will the repo rate go down in November 2026.

Key takeaways

  • 01The repo rate is 7.25% and the prime lending rate 10.75%, in force since 25 September 2026. A cut on 19 November 2026 looks unlikely — but no one can promise the outcome, and we don't forecast it.
  • 022026's record so far points the other way: hold, hike, hold, hike. Prime has moved from 10.25% in March to 10.75% today, a full percentage point.
  • 03A hold changes nothing: at 10.75%, a R1.5 million bond costs about R 15 228 a month over 20 years. Each 25bp move shifts that by roughly R 254.
  • 04You don't need the MPC to pay less: major-bank offers typically land between prime -1% and +2%, and ooba's average concession is 0.67% below prime.

When is the next repo rate announcement in South Africa?

The next repo rate announcement is on 19 November 2026 — the final scheduled Monetary Policy Committee decision of 2026. The SARB publishes the decision, the statement behind it and a live webcast on the day (calendar in Sources below). If the committee moves the repo rate, banks reprice variable-rate bonds off prime within weeks of the announcement. For the full-year picture, see our guide to when the next interest rate decision lands.

Why is the repo rate at 7.25% going into November?

Because the MPC put it there: on 23 September 2026 the committee raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 7.25%, effective 25 September 2026, on a unanimous vote — taking prime to 10.75%. Headline inflation was 4.4% at the decision, with rising fuel prices and elevated services inflation cited, and the committee said it adopted a more restrictive stance to prevent second-round effects (SARB September statement). The 2026 record so far:

MPC meetingDecisionRepoPrime
23 September 2026+25bp7.25%10.75%
23 July 2026Hold7.00%10.50%
28 May 2026+25bp7.00%10.50%
26 March 2026Hold6.75%10.25%

Since that hike, Governor Kganyago has said prevailing rates are high enough to beat inflation — widely read as a hold signal — while the latest Stats SA inflation print has cooled. For both threads, see our coverage of Kganyago on rates versus inflation and September's CPI print and the November decision.

What does a hold at 7.25% mean for your bond repayment?

Nothing changes. A hold keeps repo at 7.25% and prime at 10.75%, so variable-rate instalments stay exactly where they are today. What you already pay — and what each possible 25bp move would add or save — looks like this at a 20-year term, by our calculation:

Bond sizeMonthly at 10.75%If prime +25bpIf prime −25bp
R 1 000 000R 10 152+R 170−R 168
R 1 500 000R 15 228+R 254−R 253
R 2 000 000R 20 305+R 339−R 337

These assume you pay exactly prime — the midpoint of the pricing conversation, not a quote. Run your own amount and rate in the bond repayment calculator.

Could the repo rate still go down this cycle?

It could — no one can rule a cut out, and we don't forecast the committee's decision. But nothing in the 2026 record points that way yet: two hikes and two holds have taken prime up a full percentage point since March, and the September statement flagged second-round inflation risks. A cut would need inflation to keep cooling and those concerns to ease. The scenarios both ways, with figures, are in our guide to the expected repo rate for South Africa in 2026.

How do you cut your bond rate without waiting for the MPC?

The rate you're offered is not prime — it's prime plus or minus a margin, and the margin is negotiable. Offers across the major-bank panels that originators submit to typically land between prime -1% and prime +2% — roughly 9.75% to 12.75% at today's prime. On a R1.5 million bond over 20 years, that spread looks like this (illustrative offsets, not offered rates):

Scenario (R1.5m bond, 20 years)RateMonthly repayment
Strong credit profile with a substantial deposit9.75%R 14 228
Prime (the bank’s standard quoted rate)10.75%R 15 228
Weaker or thin credit profile, or a 100% bond12.75%R 17 307

The gap between the best and worst row is about R 3 079 a month on the same loan — more than any single 25bp MPC move. ooba reports an average concession of 0.67% below prime across the bonds it registers, worth roughly R 674 a month on a R1.5 million bond at today's rates, by our calculation. Three steps put you on the right side of that average: get pre-approved so banks see a ready buyer — before the rate decision beats waiting for one; submit to every major bank at once — a bond originator does this at no cost; and negotiate with every counter-offer in hand. No bank guarantees a rate — what you get depends on your profile on the day.

(Last updated 7 November 2026. Repo and prime rates verified against the SARB September 2026 MPC statement; illustrative bank-rate band cross-checked with ooba Home Loans rate-concession reporting as listed below. Repayment examples: 20-year term at the stated rate, no margin — your actual rate may be prime plus or minus a margin.)

Frequently asked questions

Will interest rates go up?

No one can promise — and we don't forecast rate moves. The 2026 record so far is two hikes (May and September) around a July hold, taking prime from 10.25% to 10.75%. The MPC's next decision is on 19 November 2026. If it did raise again, every 25 basis points on prime adds roughly R 254 to the monthly cost of a R1.5 million bond over 20 years. The practical hedge either way is the same: get pre-approved and make every bank compete for your bond.

Is the repo rate getting reduced?

Nothing is decided until the MPC announces on 19 November 2026. The repo rate is 7.25% after September's 25bp hike (effective 25 September 2026), and 2026's moves have all been up or hold. A cut is possible — no one can rule it out — and if it came, variable-rate bond repayments would fall within weeks: every 25bp off prime saves about R 253 a month on a R1.5 million bond. We don't forecast the outcome.

What will be the next interest rate announcement?

The next scheduled announcement is the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee decision on 19 November 2026 — its final decision of 2026, per the SARB's MPC calendar. It covers the repo rate; commercial banks' prime lending rates move with it, and variable-rate bonds reprice within weeks of any change.

When should we expect the next rate cut?

We don't forecast dates or outcomes — and the 2026 record points the other way: two hikes around a July hold, with prime at 10.75% since 25 September 2026. A cut would need inflation to keep cooling and the committee to drop the second-round-effects concern it raised in September. Watch the 19 November 2026 statement and each month's inflation print; whatever the decision, competing offers across the banks can lower your rate now.

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Sources

All repayment figures above were computed at page render from the standard annuity formula (20-year term at the stated rate, no margin), using the prime and repo rates recorded in our central rates dataset — never hard-coded into the page.

Informational disclaimer

This article is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a prediction of where the repo rate, the prime lending rate or any bank's offered rates will move next — including at the 19 November 2026 MPC meeting. Rate figures are drawn from the South African Reserve Bank's September 2026 MPC statement; the illustrative bank-rate band and average concession are cross-checked against ooba Home Loans reporting as listed in Sources, and describe typical pricing patterns, not quotes or guarantees. Repayment examples assume a 20-year term at the stated rate with no margin — they are estimates, not quotes or pre-approvals; your actual rate may be prime plus or minus a margin depending on your bank, deposit and credit profile. Always confirm current figures with the South African Reserve Bank, your lender or a qualified financial adviser before making a financial decision.

Figures as at 7 November 2026. Prime 10.75%, repo 7.25%, effective 25 September 2026 (SARB September 2026 MPC statement; re-verified 23 September 2026). Next MPC announcement: 19 November 2026 (SARB calendar). Illustrative bank-rate band last checked: 3 October 2026. Last verified: 2026-11-07.