Market newsInterest rates

When is the next interest rate decision in South Africa?

The Reserve Bank announces its next interest rate decision on Thursday 19 November 2026, at about 15:00 SAST. The repo rate stands at 7.25% and prime at 10.75% after September's hike. bond.co.za calculates what each possible outcome — hike, hold or cut — would do to your monthly repayment.

By bond.co.za Editorial Team, Home loan content editor · Reviewed by Registered Mortgage Originator · Published 2026-10-12 · Last verified 2026-10-12

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Flat illustration of a calendar with one date marked — the next SARB interest rate decision.

Key takeaways

  • 01The next MPC announcement is Thursday 19 November 2026, at about 15:00 SAST — the date comes from the SARB's official MPC calendar.
  • 02Rates stand at a repo rate of 7.25% and prime of 10.75%, effective 25 September 2026, after the unanimous 25 basis point hike of 23 September 2026.
  • 032026 so far: a hike in May, a hold in July, a hike in September — prime is up half a percentage point since April.
  • 04If the committee moved another 25 basis points up, a R1.5 million bond would cost about R 254 more per month — an illustrative scenario, not a prediction.
  • 05A 25 basis point cut would save about R 253 a month on R1.5 million. Nothing in the September statement signals one.

What date is the next interest rate announcement?

The next scheduled Monetary Policy Committee announcement is on Thursday 19 November 2026. The statement is released at about 15:00 SAST, with the governor's media briefing following shortly afterwards. The date comes from the SARB's own MPC announcement calendar — the same calendar that carried the 23 September 2026 meeting. If the Bank announces changes to the schedule, the date moves with that announcement, not before.

How does the current prime rate affect your monthly bond repayment?

Banks price variable-rate home loans off the prime lending rate, which has stood at 10.75% since 25 September 2026, when the September hike worked through. At that rate, bond.co.za's calculation puts a R1.5 million bond over 20 years at about R 15 228 per month. Every 25 basis point move in prime shifts that instalment by roughly R 254 — up if the MPC hikes, down if it cuts. To see the instalment at your own bond size and term, use the bond repayment calculator.

What would another 25 basis point move do to your repayment?

No one knows what the committee will do on 19 November 2026, so the table below shows the arithmetic of a single 25 basis point move in either direction — the same scenario size the MPC has used for both of its 2026 moves. It is an illustration for budgeting, not a forecast:

Bond sizeAt 10.75% (today)At 11.00% (+25bp)Difference / month
R 1 000 000R 10 152R 10 322+R 170
R 1 500 000R 15 228R 15 483+R 254
R 2 000 000R 20 305R 20 644+R 339

In the other direction, a 25 basis point cut would take prime to about 10.50% and save about R 253 a month on a R1.5 million bond. These are estimates at prime with no margin — your actual rate may be prime plus or minus a margin depending on your bank, deposit and credit profile. To run both scenarios at your own numbers, use the rate increase impact calculator.

Will there be another interest rate cut in South Africa?

Nothing the committee has said this year points to one. The 2026 record reads hike (May), hold (July), hike (September) — and the September statement cited headline inflation at 4.4% and a deliberately more restrictive stance to prevent second-round effects from feeding into wages and prices. That is the language of a committee watching inflation, not easing. But the MPC decides meeting by meeting, on the data in front of it: no direction is guaranteed, and this article is not a forecast.

What is the forecasted interest rate for 2026?

The SARB publishes no rate path, so any "forecast" belongs to an analyst, not the Bank. The most-cited external call is Bank of America's September view of two 25 basis point hikes in 2026, taking the repo rate from 7.00% to 7.50% by year-end — the first landed on 23 September, leaving one still outstanding, and Bloomberg described the call as an outlier among forecasters. Our interest rate forecast for South Africa page rounds up the published paths after every MPC decision, and our Bank of America explainer takes that call apart in full.

(Last updated 12 October 2026. Rate figures verified against the SARB September 2026 MPC statement and the SARB MPC calendar listed below. Repayment examples: 20-year term at prime, no margin — your actual rate may be prime plus or minus a margin.)

Frequently asked questions

Will there be another interest rate cut in South Africa?

Nothing in the SARB's recent statements signals one. 2026 has delivered two 25 basis point increases (May and September) around a July hold, and the September statement cited headline inflation of 4.4% and a more restrictive stance to prevent second-round effects. The committee decides meeting by meeting — the next decision is 19 November 2026 — so no direction is guaranteed, and this is not a forecast.

What are the expected interest rates in South Africa in 2026?

The SARB publishes no rate path, so expectations come from analysts. Bank of America's September call was for two 25 basis point hikes in 2026, taking the repo rate from 7.00% to 7.50% — the first landed on 23 September, leaving one still outstanding. Today the repo rate is 7.25% and prime 10.75%. Treat every path, including that one, as a scenario rather than a certainty.

What time is the SARB interest rate announcement?

On decision days the MPC statement is released at about 15:00 SAST, followed shortly after by the governor's media briefing — per the SARB's MPC announcement webcasts schedule, which also lists the 19 November 2026 date. Variable-rate bond repayments change only if the repo rate itself moves.

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Sources

All repayment figures above were computed at page render from the standard annuity formula (20-year term at prime, no margin), using the prime and repo rates recorded in our central rates dataset — never hard-coded into the page.

Informational disclaimer

This article is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Rate figures are drawn from the South African Reserve Bank's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee statement and the SARB MPC announcement calendar as listed in Sources; rates and meeting dates change over time. Repayment and scenario examples assume a 20-year term at prime with no margin and are estimates, not quotes or guaranteed outcomes — your actual rate may be prime plus or minus a margin, variable-rate bonds reprice at a repricing date that varies by bank and product, and no scenario on this page is a prediction of what the MPC will decide. Always confirm current rates with the South African Reserve Bank, your lender or a registered mortgage originator before making a financial decision.

Figures as at 12 October 2026. Prime 10.75%, repo 7.25%, effective 25 September 2026 (SARB September 2026 MPC statement; re-verified 23 September 2026). Next MPC announcement: 19 November 2026 (SARB calendar). Last verified: 2026-10-12.