Market newsInterest rates

Interest Rate Hike 2026: What It Means for Your Home Loan

On 23 September 2026, the Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 7.25%, effective 25 September 2026, lifting prime to 10.75%. On a R1.5 million bond that's roughly R 252 more a month — here's by how much at every bond size, why the committee moved, and what to watch next.

By bond.co.za Editorial Team, Home loan content editor · Reviewed by Registered Mortgage Originator · Published 2026-10-06 · Last verified 2026-10-06

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Flat illustration of two homeowners reviewing paperwork at a kitchen table in soft morning light — the September 2026 rate increase and what it means for bond repayments.

Key takeaways

  • 01Repo rate up 25bps to 7.25% (decided 23 September 2026); prime lending rate up to 10.75%, effective 25 September 2026.
  • 02On a R1,500,000 bond the increase adds about R 252/month; on a R3,000,000 bond, about R 506/month (20-year term, prime-linked).
  • 03The SARB raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 4.4% (from 4.0%) and trimmed its 2026 GDP growth forecast to 1.2% (from 1.4%), citing a fuel-price shock.
  • 04House price growth was already slowing before this hike — FNB's index cooled from 6.1% y/y in March 2026 to 5.1% in July — so affordability pressure is building from two directions at once.
  • 05The next MPC decision lands on 19 November 2026; nothing is guaranteed either way.

On 23 September 2026, the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 7.25%, effective 25 September 2026, lifting the prime lending rate to 10.75%. On a R1,500,000 bond that's roughly R 252 more a month; on a R3,000,000 bond, about R 506 more — figures confirmed below, not estimated.

Short answer

  1. Repo rate: 7.25% (up from 7.00%), decided 23 September, effective 25 September 2026
  2. Prime lending rate: 10.75% (up from 10.50%)
  3. R1,000,000 bond: +R 168/month
  4. R2,000,000 bond: +R 337/month
  5. R3,000,000 bond: +R 506/month
  6. Next MPC decision: 19 November 2026

Why did the SARB raise rates again?

The MPC voted unanimously to hike, citing an intensifying fuel-price shock and rising global interest rates. Governor Lesetja Kganyago said the Bank expects headline inflation to climb above 5% later in 2026 and into early 2027 before easing back toward the 3% target as the fuel shock fades. The Bank also revised its 2026 inflation forecast up to 4.4% (from 4.0%) and trimmed its 2026 GDP growth forecast to 1.2% (from 1.4%), while leaving 2027 (1.7%) and 2028 (1.9%) growth forecasts unchanged. This is the second hike this year — the MPC also raised rates 25bps in May 2026 — after cutting to 6.75% in November 2025 alongside the SARB's move to a firm 3% inflation target.

How much more will I pay on my bond?

The table below shows the change at the new 10.75% prime rate versus the previous 10.50%, on a standard 20-year term, before any bank-specific pricing above or below prime:

Bond valueAt 10.50%At 10.75%Extra per month
R 850 000R 8 486R 8 629+R 143
R 1 000 000R 9 984R 10 152+R 168
R 1 500 000R 14 976R 15 228+R 252
R 2 000 000R 19 968R 20 305+R 337
R 3 000 000R 29 951R 30 457+R 506
R 4 000 000R 39 935R 40 609+R 674
R 5 000 000R 49 919R 50 761+R 842

Source: bond.co.za calculation — 20-year, prime-linked, capital-plus-interest amortisation at 10.50% → 10.75%, independently recalculated and confirmed by Rates & Lender Data, 6 October 2026.

What does this mean for first-time buyers?

Pam Golding Properties flagged first-time buyers as the group most exposed to repayment increases, since they tend to run tighter monthly budgets and have less room to absorb an extra few hundred rand. Seeff Property Group described the hike as added pressure on an already cautious buying market. Neither of these is a reason to assume you won't qualify or that your own deal will move by exactly these amounts — actual pricing depends on your bank, credit profile and the margin above or below prime you negotiate.

What should I watch next?

The next MPC decision is due 19 November 2026. The Bank has signalled that further moves depend on how quickly the current fuel-price-driven inflation spike fades — there's no guarantee of either a hold or another hike. Worth watching alongside it: FNB's House Price Index, which had already cooled from 6.1% y/y growth in March 2026 to 5.1% in July, before this latest hike was even in the data.

Caveats

These repayment figures assume a prime-linked variable-rate bond over a 20-year term, and don't include life insurance, bond or legal fees, or a rate above or below prime that your specific bank may offer. Your own repayment change will depend on your bank, your credit profile, and the margin on your loan. This article is general market information, not financial advice — talk to a bond originator or your bank about your specific numbers.

Frequently asked questions

What is the monthly repayment on a R1,000,000 home loan at the new prime rate?

At 10.75% prime over 20 years, a R1,000,000 bond costs about R 10 152 a month, up from R 9 984 before this hike.

Does a rate hike affect what I can afford to borrow?

It can. Lenders assess affordability against your income and expenses at the rate on offer, so a higher prime rate can reduce the loan amount you qualify for at the same income. The exact effect depends on your bank's affordability model — a pre-qualification will give you a real number for your situation.

When is the next interest rate decision?

19 November 2026.

See what this rate actually means for you

Use our free bond repayment calculator to work out your new monthly repayment at 10.75% prime in under a minute — no obligation, no guaranteed outcome implied.

Calculate my new bond repayment

Sources

All repayment figures above were computed at page render from the standard annuity formula (20-year term at prime, no margin), using the prime and repo rates recorded in our central rates dataset — never hard-coded into the page.

Informational disclaimer

This article is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Rate figures are drawn from the South African Reserve Bank's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee statement as listed in Sources; rates change over time. Repayment examples assume a 20-year term at prime with no margin and are estimates, not quotes or guaranteed outcomes — your actual rate may be prime plus or minus a margin, and variable-rate bonds reprice at a repricing date that varies by bank and product. Always confirm current rates with the South African Reserve Bank, your lender or a registered mortgage originator before making a financial decision.

Figures as at 23 September 2026 (decided), effective 25 September 2026. Prime 10.75%, repo 7.25% (SARB September 2026 MPC statement; re-verified 6 Oct 2026). Previous prime 10.50%. Last verified: 2026-10-06.